The Cincinnati Reds have won four consecutive games and are now 60-51 overall. However, they remain alive in the playoff picture. Cincinnati is currently second in the NL Central and trailed the Milwaukee Brewers by six more games. The San Diego Padres are third in the Wild Card standings.
Luis Castillo will be the first starter for the Cincinnati Reds on Monday. Castillo has a record of 6-10 in 23 starts this season with a 4.09 ERA, a 128-54 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 4.00 ERA. Castillo faced the Indians on May 8, and gave up six runs, four earned, in only four innings. The Reds lost the game 9-2.
Cincinnati’s Castillo has Turned Things Around
Luis Castillo (RHP) and I have a love-hate relationship. He will start the Monday game. I am referring to my hatred for him and his love of betting against me, but he loves proving me wrong. Castillo is now good again, I am ready to admit it.
Castillo’s first two months were a complete disaster. Castillo was 0-8 in 11 starts from May through May. His 7.22 ERA was a disaster and opponents were batting.325. Castillo lost seven consecutive starts and was the worst pitcher in league.
The former All-Star pitcher has rediscovered his ability to pitch since June’s start and is now back in good form. Castillo is now 5-2 with a 1.91 ERA, and opponents are batting just.197 against his pitches. Castillo’s ERA is lower than Walker Buehler over this stretch.
The Reds have been outstanding offensively all season. They are third in the league for wOBA, and seventh in wRC+. Jesse Winker was Cincinnati’s All-Star starter, while Nick Castellanos was recently reinstated to the lineup.
Joey Votto, who is definitely playing at an All Star level, is not included in this figure. Votto has a batting average of.328 and a 1.328 OPS. He also has 25 RBI and 11 homers in his last 15 games.
I’m mature enough to admit that I was wrong. Castillo isn’t a stinker anymore. In fact, he has been one the most consistent pitchers in the league for the past two months. Castillo should be a big advantage for the Reds over a rookie pitcher still trying to find his feet.
Castillo is known for his excellent changeups and Cleveland, which has a -8.2 Run Value against Changeups this season (24th in the league), has a very good record.
Although the Reds aren’t as good against lefties, they still hit fastballs well. Hentges has been serving up his fastball to batters on a silver plate this season.
Cincinnati has been hot and is now the better team. They will win the game and win the Ohio Cup series for the first time in six years. However, I think laying a price of -180 is too high considering how fragile the Reds’ bullpen can be. Instead, I’ll back the Reds to win after five innings (-0.5 at -135)Last Updated on October 2, 2021