Super Bowl Over/Under Odds 2021

Although the start of the 2021-22 NFL Season is still a month away the best sportsbooks in America have been offering Super Bowl 2022 odds since January. It can be profitable to wager on the winner of the Lombardi Trophy several months ahead of time. For instance, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were around +1200 to win the trophy at most sportsbooks last offseason. A $20 wager at this number would have brought you $240.

Selecting the right team is the challenge. We are beginning to understand how each team will be this season, now that the NFL Draft and free agency are over. We will examine the odds of each team winning the Super Bowl, break down their chances and discuss NFL futures betting strategies.


Here’s a live view of Super Bowl odds at the best US sportsbooks. The Kansas City Chiefs are the favorite with +500 odds at most sportsbooks, while the reigning champion Buccaneers have around +600. The Buffalo Bills are at +1000, Green Bay Packers at+1300, and Baltimore Ravens at+1400 are all close to the top of the boards.

Patrick Mahomes (and Tom Brady) will put on an offensive fireworks display at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.

Super Bowl LV’s over/under is currently at 56 points. This is a half point less than it was earlier in the week.

Everyone would love to see the NFL’s young star and six-time champion swap touchdown passes. But, it is possible that the under pays off.

Only three of the nine previous Super Bowls Brady played in had more than 56 points. Mahomes’ first trip into the championship game was 51 points.

Over/Under: 56

Moneyline: Kansas City (-162; bet $162 to win $100); Tampa Bay (+140; bet $100 to win $140)

Over 56

History is on the side of the under, but both quarterbacks have the capability to lead their respective sides either over or close to the 30-point threshold. 

Tampa Bay had 30 points or more in each of the last six contests of their seven-game winning streak, and it averaged 30.7 points in the postseason. 

The Buccaneers defense came up with some crucial stops against the Washington Football Team, New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers, but it still conceded 20 or more points to each opponent. 

Kansas City has familiarity with the Tampa Bay defense from the Week 12 win in which the Chiefs bolted out to a 20-7 halftime advantage. 

That contest finished with 51 total points, but it had the elements of a game that could feature closer to 60 points. Five of the six touchdowns scored that day were 20 yards or longer, and the quarterbacks combined for 807 passing yards and six scoring throws. 

Kansas City’s first-team defense has not allowed over 400 total yards since that game, but it has yielded over 300 total yards to five opponents, including the Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills. 

If the two defenses give up around 300 yards on Sunday, there should be plenty of room for Brady and Mahomes to operate and post scores that get close to 30 points. 

Kansas City (-3)

Kansas City was able to win close games against each NFC South team in 2020, regardless of the reason. The Chiefs defeated the Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, and Buccaneers by three each while the Carolina Panthers were defeated by two.

In the two AFC West Rematches, Kansas City’s starters also won by a one-score margin. In Week 11, the Chiefs defeated the Las Vegas Raiders four times and beat the Denver Broncos six times.

This data, combined with Brady’s record 6-3 Super Bowl win, suggests that Kansas City’s margin could be narrow if it continues.

Tampa Bay tried its best in the three remaining games to dispel any notion that it is struggling against top NFL teams. In the regular season, the Bucs were 0-5 against playoff qualifiers.

The Tampa Bay secondary was dominated by Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill in the week 12 loss to Kansas City.

On Sunday, Hill’s big-play explosiveness and Kelce’s speed could make a difference. Both players recorded 100-yard games in the first two playoff contests, and they combined for 351 receiving yards in Week 12.

Hill and Kelce also caught 21 out of 23 balls thrown their way against the Bucs. The Chiefs may be able to win their second consecutive championship if they are consistent.

Last Updated on October 2, 2021

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