Odds Checker will provide all the information you need to bet on MMA with the UFC in full swing through 2021. As a long-time analyst in martial arts and a gambler, I will be sharing my favourite lines, including technical analysis and parlays.
Although our three-week winning streak was ended by one of 2021’s worst decisions, I am optimistic about this week’s offerings. I will be trying to spread some smaller plays with a lower budget to keep it fun.
UFC Fight Night: Hall Vs. Strickland Main Event
ESPN’s main event features a fascinating middleweight clash between Uriah (-172) and Sean Strickland (+200).
Although I agree with the favored fighter, I chose to support the underdog. Strickland will definitely have the advantage in striking volume, grappling, and on paper, but he has faced very few fast, hard hitting knockout artists at welterweight and middleweight in UFC (losing only to those he has encountered).
Strickland should be preferred in the smaller octagon, but Strickland has shifted away from offensive grappling after his motorcycle accident. If Strickland can’t swarm Hall, it is likely that Hall will be able to strike a classic comeback counter if he does not.
Although the official pick is for the plus-money fighter I caution anyone who feels too confident about backing one side. Instead, I recommend looking at the totals. I believe the under at 3.5 rounds (125) is the best angle.
UFC Fight Night Paralay
In MMA, parlaying is a madman’s game. However, I would be lying to you if I said that I didn’t play a little bit of them for fun. This week, I chose to use the chalk I was most comfortable with for my parlay.
Barberena is a fighter I have been betting on since his fights with Sage Northcutt and Warlley Alves. Jason Witt will be taking on Barberena. Witt might be in his late-prime fight under James Krause’s supervision, but Witt has struggled against UFC southpaws since he was knocked out by the two previous (grapplers).
Next is Stolze who will face Jared Gooden in an welterweight fight. It’s difficult not to admire Stolze for using his diverse skills and kicks against Jared Gooden to make him pay for his boxing-centric attitude.
Garcia will be fighting Chris Gruetzemacher at lightweight. Gruetzemacher, who has won just two pro fights since 2014, will be facing a fighter who can out-box and outwork him in nearly every phase. Garcia also trained in Colorada alongside Trevor Wittman and Justin Gaethje.
UFC Fight Night Underdogs
The fighters I have listed are all live dogs and will be using the chalky prop and parlay to help them.
The three underdogs, which are the more experienced and higher-ranked grapplers, find themselves in fights against fighters who can’t help but wrestle. These bouts will take place in the smaller cage so I am fairly certain that at least two of these dogs will cash on Saturday.
If you liked my Jones pick, and want a fun flyer for the props department, I recommend “Jones within the distance” at +200 or “Jones By Submission” at +1500. Jones will likely win by another knockout or guillotine choke, given Ronnie Lawrence’s propensity for giving his head while standing and shooting for takedowns.
Last Updated on October 4, 2021